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Perspectives on the transition to TV in the US, from analog to digital in 2009

This from CNET this morning… a view on the future of digital TV in the US by Jason Oxman, vice president of communications for the Consumer Electronics Association. This was in rebuttal to a piece by Michael Hulfactor –“When regular TV broadcasts go dark” from early April (sounds like a cable television reality show) — the managing director of DecisionTrend Research, on the transition to digital TV. 



U.S. is ready to move to digital TV
Bumps in the road notwithstanding, the Consumer Electronics Association’s Jason Oxman says transition from analog to digital TV is on schedule.



Between now and February 17, 2009, all new television sets shipped to retailers will include a digital tuner capable of receiving over-the-air digital broadcasts. Cable and satellite households will be equipped by their service provider with everything they need for the transition, so consumers will see no change. And for those over-the-air households who haven’t made the switch, there are plenty of choices and government-industry resources available to make the transition smoothly.


Free over-the-air television, broadcast with crystal-clear digital clarity, will be available to households that wish to receive it after the February 2009 analog shut-off. Consumers who already have a digital television will be able to receive these broadcasts via an antenna, cable or satellite.


Consumers who do not own a digital television, and do not subscribe to a multichannel video provider, can purchase from local retailers an inexpensive (as low as $60) and easy to install digital-to-analog converter box to connect to their analog sets. Even better, the government will have two $40 coupons per household available for these boxes beginning in January 2008 that will bring the cost down to around $20 per box.



This from Michael Hulfactor…



Normally, technology adoption involves a choice between competing solutions in the marketplace, but the federal mandate removes from consumers the power to choose and buy technology. Consumers will not be able to continue receiving free over-the-air broadcasting.


By February 17, 2009, those who wish to continue watching TV will have had to purchase something new, such as a digital-capable TV or a special analog-to-digital conversion box. Or they may abandon the free over-the-air model altogether and buy cable or satellite services. If they don’t, television will go dark for them.

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Your questions: how do I connect an Xbox 360 to my Windows PC?

A question from an Xbox 360 owner with a Media Center PC: “how do I connect an Xbox 360 to my Windows PC?”


For the latest info, see this article on xbox.com on connecting your PC up to an Xbox 360 with Windows Media Connect. If you are connecting an Xbox 360 to a PC running Windows Vista Home Premium or Windows Vista Ultimate, then take a look at this article on microsoft.com. (I did reference blog about the Xbox 360 as a Media Center Extender previously with a link to Chris Turkstra’s Expert Zone Support WebCast.)


And if a picture is worth a thousand words then a video is, well, worth a few more than that:



  CNET: Insider Secrets: Connect an Xbox 360 to your Windows PC


If you have a firewall on your home network, you may need to open up specific ports – see also http://support.microsoft.com/kb/911728.


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Thoughts on Microsoft Search and the big News/NBC Web Video deals

A few random thoughts.


BusinessWeek has an interesting article this week on “Where Is Microsoft Search?” The author observes that Microsoft has stumbled in an effort to provide a better comprehensive mousetrap on the Web, and prevent others from undermining core businesses, as is often cited thee days with companies offering competition to many of our products and services. 



“There’s plenty of pressure to make this fix stick. Last May, Microsoft launched adCenter, a technology that takes demographic data (gender, age, Zip Code) of Web surfers who sign up for various MSN and Windows Live services and lays it over their search queries. That lets advertisers tailor ads to specific types of customers and should allow Microsoft to charge more. But the strategy packs a punch only if Microsoft boosts its share of search.


“Microsoft could still do that. It is betting search will move beyond the all-purpose Web site where users plug in a query for any bit of information. That’s not a bad idea; many analysts believe the search world will fragment into vertical sites that focus on niches. The eye-popping success of YouTube Inc., now owned by Google, is one example. More than just a place to show off your creations, YouTube has become a place to search for videos. Microsoft announced plans in February to buy Medstory Inc., a health-care search engine for consumers. And on Mar. 14 it said it would buy Tellme Networks Inc. for what one analyst estimated to be more than $1 billion. Tellme should give Microsoft a leg up in the emerging market for voice-activated search over a mobile phone.”


Now look at the deal between News Corp. and NBC reported in the NY Times is significant, and requires an alignment of the content owners with distributors and advertisers.



“All the advertising in the video programming will be sold by either the media companies themselves or the new Web venture, and shows and clips will be displayed on a video player that will be embedded in sites like MSN and AOL. For the Internet companies who are distributing the shows, it allows them a new way to tap into the surging popularity of Internet video and vie with YouTube for viewers.


“The impetus for announcing the business now, executives involved said, was the conclusion of deals with AOL, Yahoo, MSN and MySpace. The partners had also spent several months trying to recruit other media companies including Viacom, Walt Disney and CBS to join their start-up.”


Perhaps the connection via MSN (and ultimately services like the one offered on Xbox Live) is one way for MS to participate. Just as I blogged earlier this year, ABC’s apparent success at providing free ad-supported TV shows via the web was a good entree, balancing a good customer experience balanced with a reasonable business model is as important as meeting the needs of teh viewer, in this case with content that they want to watch (TV shows, movies) in a format that’s appealing (reasonable quality streaming video) and at an acceptable price point (free with ads). Perhaps MSN and ultimately Live could be the go-to destination to search for and view video content, providing Microsoft opportunities to apply value-adds that are more than just selling ads: video search, tagging, metadata, social ratings and targeted advertising enhance the video library and ultimately the customer’s experience. 


More to think about this weekend.


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More on the Xbox Live Video service: Joystiq, engadget

Xbox 360 Live TV serviceMore on the new Movies & TV service via Xbox Live, as announced yesterday. Joystiq has a brief discussion with Scott Henson, director of platform strategy for the Xbox 360, for more info on the service, due to launch on November 22nd.  


And more pictures and a run through of the service is up on engadget.

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Movies & TV via Xbox starting Nov. 22

The Seattle Times reported the new agreements with several networks (including CBS, TBS and MTV), Paramount Pictures and Warner Brothers “to bring an initial lineup of more than 1,000 hours of hit television shows and movies to Xbox 360 consoles” starting November 22nd, with to bring standard and HD TV content via the Internet.



“It announced plans to offer movie rentals and full purchases of television shows, joining Apple Computer, Amazon.com and other rivals in vying for the “what do you want to watch tonight?” entertainment dollar.


“By year-end, the service is to have at least 1,000 hours of television programs and movies from partners that include the CBS and MTV networks, Turner Broadcasting System, Paramount Pictures and Warner Bros. Home Entertainment.”


It’s the HD CBS content and remastered Star Trek episodes that put this as a top reason to add an Xbox 360 beyond the family room, in addition to Avatar: The Last Airbender, SpongeBob SquarePants. For the kids, of course. When you consider that the Hollywood Reporter notes that there are “4 million Xbox Live members worldwide that have downloaded more than 70 million pieces of gaming and such shortform entertainment content as music videos and movie trailers during the 11 months Marketplace has been available,” that’s an incredible installed base, a comparison that is hard to match in other traditional DVR and entertainment distribution services.


For others, NASCAR NEXTEL Cup Series races from Race Rewind, “50 of its most intense fights” from the Ultimate Fighting Championship and more.


As ABC News reports, Xbox will add the Video Marketplace to the Xbox Live experience, using Microsoft Points as used in Xbox Live Arcade, Marketplace and Zune all use. As noted in Variety, “Microsoft hasn’t revealed its pricing plans, but Xbox Live is expected to be competitive with other VOD sites, ranging from 99ยข for some TV shows up to $4.99 for the newest pics. High-def pics may cost $1 or $2 more to rent.”


My main concern: the current 20GB hard drive on the Xbox 360 is too small in traditional terms of digital video recorders compared with the current crop of DVRs available today. For the casual viewer, maybe, but not if you’re looking to download a couple of HD TV shows and a movie or two. In our home, 30 to 40GB of space is the minimum.


Troy Wolverton of the Mercury News said that “given that the Xbox 360’s hard drive holds just 20 gigabytes of data, customers will be able to store only about five hours of high-definition or 15 to 17 hours of standard-definition video, far less than a typical digital video recorder.”


So some analysts predict that there will be a new larger HDD come January:



“Richard Doherty, an industry pundit with the Seaford, N.Y., firm Envisioneering, … predicted Microsoft will soon announce larger hard drives for the console, perhaps at the Consumer Electronics Show in January.”


More details are available on the Xbox.com site.